July 24, 2022

Summary

The opinion poll was based on a random sample of 25,999 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 1%.

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Kenya Election Opinion Poll – Ruto Can Win in First Round?

Kenya Election Opinion Poll – Ruto Can Win in First Round?

Image courtesy Kivumbi.co.ke

An opinion poll by Intel Research Solutions (IRS) puts William Ruto on 50.5% of the vote in the presidential election if the poll was held today, ahead of Raila Odinga on 44.2%. If accurate, the poll suggests Deputy President William Ruto could win the election in the first round.

The opinion poll was based on a random sample of 25,999 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 1%.

Among the minor candidates in the presidential race the IRS poll suggests George Wajackoyah would receive 1.9% of the vote and David Mwaure 1.1%.

Opinion Poll Regional Results

Raila Odinga William Ruto
Mount Kenya East 22.6% 72.4%
Mount Kenya West 23.1% 70.9%
Mount Kenya Diaspora 28% 65.7%
Central Rift 14.3% 81.8%
Coast 54% 40%
Northern 48.5% 47.3%
Southern Eastern 56.1% 39%
Western 53.7% 40.6%
Central Nyanza 83% 12.4%
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